16 Sept · 06:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1469
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fashchevskyi🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (223)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H23-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-18)