16 Sept · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1507
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kryvoshyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1430
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 62% (64)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)