16 Sept · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1530
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Veigl
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1587
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Veigl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)