17 Sept · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1518
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ziakun
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1404
FormLWWWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H59-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-20)