17 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1389
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Miroshnychenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1404
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Miroshnychenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 31% · 3.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H12-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.