17 Sept · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1504
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Leonenko
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1494
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (102)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.