17 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1520
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jirousek
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1455
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvoracek🌟Jirousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (67)
Fair odds · Jirousek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)