17 Sept · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1426
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Maslovskyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1473
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H57-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-20)