17 Sept · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1510
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Simchuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1336
FormWLLLW
68%
32%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (91)
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+174
H2H20-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-16)