17 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1470
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurylenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1389
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H36-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-24)