18 Sept · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1399
FormWLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1587
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H24-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-3)