18 Sept · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pohorilyi
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H22-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)