18 Sept · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1563
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Volkov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1504
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (126)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H39-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-17)