18 Sept · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1505
FormWWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Holub
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1392
FormWLWLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)