18 Sept · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1488
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1500
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Treschetka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (128)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H19-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.