18 Sept · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1623
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Loboda
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1567
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H47-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-45)