18 Sept · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1608
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pisa
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1545
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 69% (257)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H36-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-29)