22 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1535
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ziakun
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1495
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Ziakun goes over total as favourite 63% (67)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H39-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.