22 Sept · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1525
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maliuk
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H36-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.