22 Sept · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Skoropad
ELO 1340
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skoropad
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1318
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Skoropad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (25)
Fair odds · Skoropad
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.