22 Sept · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1538
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Osadchyi
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1463
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)