22 Sept · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1492
FormWWLWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Honcharenko
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1253
FormLWLWL
73%
27%
🌟Khyzhnyak stays under total as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H17-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-1)