22 Sept · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1553
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Strutinskiy
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1530
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrytsenko🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (160)
Fair odds · Strutinskiy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H28-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.