22 Sept · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1574
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Savoliuk
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1626
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)