22 Sept · 07:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1318
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sydorchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1322
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Martynenko stays under total as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.