22 Sept · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1492
FormWWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Honcharenko
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1309
FormLLWWL
69%
31%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (96)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H69-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-54)