22 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1583
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bouska
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 66% (91)
Fair odds · Bouska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.