22 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1613
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H58-94
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.