22 Sept · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volkov
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1543
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Kovshun covers set handicap as underdog 63% (123)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H49-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.