22 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇺🇦Jan Vrnak
ELO 1343
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vrnak
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vrnak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H17-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)