22 Sept · 06:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1529
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Romaniak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Romaniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (97)
Fair odds · Romaniak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.