22 Sept · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1498
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Leonenko
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (104)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.