22 Sept · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1466
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1463
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H6-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.