22 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1611
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (251)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H24-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.