22 Sept · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volkov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1532
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)