22 Sept · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1318
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pyrtyk
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1357
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Martynenko stays under total as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.