22 Sept · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1617
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Derevianko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1553
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H51-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)