22 Sept · 08:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1652
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Rak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H59-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-26)