22 Sept · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1724
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Pesternikov
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1604
FormWLWWW
63%
37%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 64% (265)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H63-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-31)