22 Sept · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1385
FormLLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1525
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H31-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-22)