22 Sept · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1244
FormWWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Shcherbak
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1378
FormWLLLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H27-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-6)