22 Sept · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1583
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zelinka
MZ
🇺🇦Matus Zelinka
ELO 1655
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Zelinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (80)
Fair odds · Zelinka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)