22 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Antonin Skyba
ELO 1344
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skyba
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Skyba stays under total as favourite 65% (31)
Fair odds · Skyba
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H21-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-19)