22 Sept · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇺🇦Patrik Muller
ELO 1356
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Muller
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Muller
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H8-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)