22 Sept · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1521
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Emets
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Voinarovskyi stays under total as underdog 63% (57)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.