22 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zelinka
MZ
🇺🇦Matus Zelinka
ELO 1655
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Zelinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (80)
Fair odds · Zelinka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H10-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)