22 Sept · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1617
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Derevianko
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1529
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 64% (78)
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H12-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)