22 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇺🇦Lukas Krutina
ELO 1514
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krutina
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1446
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jnr🌟Jnr covers set handicap as underdog 63% (159)
Fair odds · Krutina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)