22 Sept · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Skoropad
ELO 1340
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pyrtyk
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1357
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Skoropad rarely covers set handicap as underdog 25% (12)
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.