22 Sept · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1253
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1309
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
🌟Khyzhnyak stays under total as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)